That is dedicated to those of you who wish to spend money on individual stocks. I wants to share along the ways Personally i have tried in the past to pick stocks that we have found to be consistently profitable in actual trading. I like to use a blend of fundamental and technical analysis for choosing stocks. My experience shows that successful stock selection involves two steps:
1. Select a standard while using fundamental analysis presented then
2. Confirm the stock can be an uptrend as indicated by the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average Line (EMA) being higher than the 100-Day EMA
This two-step process enhances the odds the stock you decide on will be profitable. It offers a signal to sell options containing not performed as you expected if it’s 50-Day EMA drops below its 100-Day EMA. It is another useful way for selecting stocks for covered call writing, a different type of strategy.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis could be the study of financial data like earnings, dividends and your money flow, which influence the pricing of securities. I use fundamental analysis to help select securities for future price appreciation. Over the years Personally i have tried many options for measuring a company’s rate of growth so that they can predict its stock’s future price performance. I have used methods like earnings growth and return on equity. I have found the methods aren’t always reliable or predictive.
Earning Growth
By way of example, corporate net income is susceptible to vague bookkeeping practices like depreciation, cashflow, inventory adjustment and reserves. These are susceptible to interpretation by accountants. Today as part of your, corporations are under increasing pressure to overpower analyst’s earnings estimates which ends up in more aggressive accounting interpretations. Some corporations take special “one time” write-offs on the balance sheet for things such as failed mergers or acquisitions, restructuring, unprofitable divisions, failed website, etc. Many times these write-offs aren’t reflected like a continue earnings growth but instead appear like a footnote over a financial report. These “one time” write-offs occur with increased frequency than you may expect. Many companies which make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average took such write-offs.
Return on Equity
One other indicator, which has been found is just not necessarily predictive of stock price appreciation, is return on equity (ROE). Conventional wisdom correlates a higher return on equity with successful corporate management that’s maximizing shareholder value (the greater the ROE better).
Which company is much more successful?
Coca-Cola (KO) with a Return on Equity of 46% or
Merrill Lynch (MER) with a Return on Equity of 18%
The reply is Merrill Lynch by measure. But Coca-Cola includes a higher ROE. How is this possible?
Return on equity is calculated by dividing a company’s post tax profit by stockholder’s equity. Coca-Cola is indeed over valued that its stockholder’s equity is only corresponding to about 5% from the total market price from the company. The stockholder equity is indeed small that nearly any amount of post tax profit will make a favorable ROE.
Merrill Lynch however, has stockholder’s equity corresponding to 42% from the market price from the company as well as a much higher post tax profit figure to produce a comparable ROE. My point is that ROE won’t compare apples to apples then isn’t a good relative indicator in comparing company performance.
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